you may be right Ktrianta .......
what we do know is:
supply is being reduced....
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/02/fst-quantum-min-zambia-redundancies-idUSL5N10D0II20150802
PAN announc. today
Avebury Nickel Mines (no buyer found)
Ravensthorp (lower output)
http://www.republicofmining.com/201...an-pablo-spinettobloomberg-news-july-23-2015/
MBN - see todays announc..
POS - care and maint.
http://minetravel.co.bw/general-news/2015/06/27/bcl-smelter-undergoes-historic-shutdown/
http://www.timminstimes.com/2009/06...definite-shutdown-of-montcalm-mine-in-timmins
http://www.northernlife.ca/news/localNews/2015/06/08-first-nickel-lockerby-mine-sudbury.aspx
total is around 50K T ......
but - I agree with your thoughts - MCR likely to drift UNTIL market can see stockpiles drawdowns ........
I guess it will be rather difficult for any new project to secure finance in the cureent environment ......
rgds
V_H