Assuming the second half results of Fy13 will be the same in FY14 and only the first half results will be similar to FY11 and FY12 then they will make about $30m in FY14 that is a 50% drop in profit, EPS of about 17c and a PE just above 10.
So expect the sp range to be about 1.70 to 1.90 for the time being.
There are still a lot of confidence in the management and even after profit warning the only change in substantial holding was up.
I will continue to hold and will do a bit more analysis first before considering whether to buy more
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