Got to agree there AverageJoe, never be cocky. Agree 100%. As Ray Dalio says in his book Principles always understand the opposing view and find intellectually smart people who may disagree with your view, so in saying that i welcome your challenge.
I get your point on EV/Li and it does have demand side growth, but i would caution you to look at the supply side. There is allot supply coming online, so if its an area of interest i would recommend going with those already producing, and not those with any financing risk as they always tend to blow out.
Global macro headwinds, i would just say you could be right, but the Fwd P/E now across all USA sectors is lowest in over 20 years. Also Trump in early Jan will seek a Trade War settlement in my view and the Fed now is not raising rates, the 10 Yr Bond is telling us that now. IT has fallen like 30bp!