EVS 3.64% 5.3¢ envirosuite limited

My wild assumptions are: Fixed costs 2018fy 4mil p/a rising to...

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    My wild assumptions are:


    Fixed costs 2018fy 4mil p/a rising to 5mil by 2020fy

    Revenue 2018fy 3mil

    Revenue 2019fy 6mil

    Revenue 2020fy 8mil


    Gross margin 95%


    EBITA 2018 -(-1mil)

    EBITA 2019 -1mil

    EBITA 2020 -3mil


    A company with such fat margins and high growth would be in my valuation of well in the range of 20 x ebita = 60mil in 3 years.


    Given 3 year target 60mil


    2017 - 6c (14mil mcap)

    2018 - 15c (35mil mcap)

    2019 - 20c (50mil mcap)

    2020 - 24c ( 60mil mcap)



    Of course risk on either side for revenue to well over or well under my wild assumptions . Also the SP that the market values will be foward looking at the growth rate at the time.
 
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