It's heading there. I'm not 100% that it'll get there though. Looking at the couple of PFSs done on the Gabanintha deposits, the important numbers appear to be 4, 8, 13 and 20, if we add 4 into that mix ourselves. Interestingly the numbers have a non-linear relationship, so someone is carefully looking at this from behind a desk somewhere (great conspiracy, I know).
My gut instinct, which is worth SFA, tells me that $5 will be the bottom and it will take 18-24 months to arrive there. Of course, this doesn't allow for any black swan or market disrupting events.
Take a punt on the black swans, for sure, but the steel industry wants to send vanadium extraction back to marginal profit levels again.
It'll be an interesting 2019 that's for sure.
TMT Price at posting:
32.0¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held