GXL 0.00% $5.54 greencross limited

Valuation, page-33

  1. 25 Posts.
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    Like GXL for the underlying theme of increasing humanisation & integration of services with product.

    Valuations are currently :
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
    0 10-May gxl 4.35 macq
    1 10-May gxl 4.40 ubs
    2 10-May gxl 4.70 citi
    3 10-May gxl 4.68 canaccord
    4 10-May gxl 6.00 morningstar

    Positive elements :
    Good prospects for price recovery
    Potential takeout at high $4

    Negative elements :
    No property play (for hedge funds)
    Shorters (No AustSuper here !!!)
    Current holders have little intrinsic attraction to the industry

    Estimates underlying final np at $35m for fy18
    Pe of 13
    Expected divs forgone in 18 for debt paydown

    Would prefer to see :
    1) Share offer of 1:2 at $2.50 raising $125m+ to paydown debt + working capital
    2) On-market buyback announcement (not necessarily acted upon) to keep shorters honest
    3) Writeoff goodwill completely
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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