CIX 0.00% 47.0¢ calliden group limited

Agree.At 30cents (call it $70mm market cap), you end up with...

  1. 5,648 Posts.
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    Agree.

    At 30cents (call it $70mm market cap), you end up with -

    (a) a PE of around 10-to-1 (which is around a 38% discount to the sector);

    (b) a discount to net assets;

    (c) intangibles at a net cost (after deducting capital) of around $9.2 million (against a "market" valuation of around $32 million - if you take a market valuation to be roughly 4 x earnings for the purchased GWP component).

    In reality, to bring CIX back into line with the sector you would actually need a price of around 42 cents. With a "buyback floor" estimated at somewhere around 33 cents (that is my guess, based on a discount to net assets, and based on the August 2007 BB discount to net assets where the BB was triggered), CIX is a safe bet between 34 and 38 cents.

    Still upside on this one - in my view, still plenty of fish in that barrell to take aim at.

    Regards
    Kit
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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