WGX 1.08% $2.80 westgold resources limited.

Analyst ratings of WGX haven't changed over the last 3 months....

  1. 912 Posts.
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    Analyst ratings of WGX haven't changed over the last 3 months. Just that the Gold price has dropped, which has lead to the share price weakness.

    https://quotes.wsj.com/AU/XASX/WGX/research-ratings

    OK, fair enough.


    Question is, why is this stock trading at such a discount to peers? Westgold prefer you to compare EV/Reserve oz and EV/Resource oz, but these are only metrics for peak of the Gold market, which is the opposite of where we are at now.

    A middle of the road metric would be maybe FCF%. On that metric WGX is indeed cheap, but it relies on low costs and expenditure. Best results are in steady state production, but WGX is ramping up, so FCF% is bound to come under future pressure compared to current forecasts. Management wants to develop the mines, not generate FCF.

    A suitable metric for bottom of the Gold cycle is NAV. Here is where the market is valuing WGX, with anything not bolted down discounted heavily. Re-rating higher can come from either the Gold market cycle turning or Management taking their foot off the accelerator. Neither is guaranteed or even likely for a lot of investors. Management could announce a change of strategic direction, flog off what their not developing and go conservative. Instead we have a Westgold going for growth, and that comes at the price of share price weakness in the current Gold environment.That's my thinking anyway.

    Last edited by roka: 19/10/18
 
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$2.80
Change
0.030(1.08%)
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$2.80 $2.82 $2.76 $9.255M 3.316M

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No. Vol. Price($)
1 11822 $2.80
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
$2.81 48779 5
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