Analyst ratings of WGX haven't changed over the last 3 months. Just that the Gold price has dropped, which has lead to the share price weakness.
https://quotes.wsj.com/AU/XASX/WGX/research-ratings
OK, fair enough.
Question is, why is this stock trading at such a discount to peers? Westgold prefer you to compare EV/Reserve oz and EV/Resource oz, but these are only metrics for peak of the Gold market, which is the opposite of where we are at now.
A middle of the road metric would be maybe FCF%. On that metric WGX is indeed cheap, but it relies on low costs and expenditure. Best results are in steady state production, but WGX is ramping up, so FCF% is bound to come under future pressure compared to current forecasts. Management wants to develop the mines, not generate FCF.
A suitable metric for bottom of the Gold cycle is NAV. Here is where the market is valuing WGX, with anything not bolted down discounted heavily. Re-rating higher can come from either the Gold market cycle turning or Management taking their foot off the accelerator. Neither is guaranteed or even likely for a lot of investors. Management could announce a change of strategic direction, flog off what their not developing and go conservative. Instead we have a Westgold going for growth, and that comes at the price of share price weakness in the current Gold environment.That's my thinking anyway.
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Last
$2.86 |
Change
0.050(1.78%) |
Mkt cap ! $2.527B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.80 | $2.87 | $2.78 | $13.35M | 4.704M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 72565 | $2.85 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$2.86 | 17255 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 15000 | 2.790 |
4 | 27859 | 2.780 |
5 | 62281 | 2.770 |
4 | 112813 | 2.760 |
6 | 47616 | 2.750 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.810 | 31114 | 1 |
2.820 | 133340 | 5 |
2.830 | 174294 | 4 |
2.840 | 55286 | 3 |
2.850 | 45724 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 22/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
WGX (ASX) Chart |