This is what I'm doing ..
I'm not being swayed by the posts good (20500) or bad (Morely et al.) - just trusting in the company guidance which the company has repeated on a number of occasions and also in the strong deal pipeline.
My opinion ..
1. 20500 is not a reliable source.
2. Morely has a vivid and just negative imagination and enjoys a stage.
3. The company has repeated and reconfirmed the profit guidance on many occasions.