BUD 0.00% 4.3¢ buddy technologies ltd

it’s educational to watch people rationalising.your analysis...

  1. 6,436 Posts.
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    it’s educational to watch people rationalising.

    your analysis  forgets the supposed annuity nature of ohm contracts

    if you see ohm revenue declining it doesn’t just mean sales are unreliable - it means the entire price/sales methodology underpinning the share price is wrong

    ie bud was being priced on 40x p/s because mgt were framing it as v high growth high margin recurring revenue

    as it is now know to be none of these things - the multiple will contract.  I’d say 5-10x p/s likely

    the company won’t go out of business this year - even if lifx falls over its got at least one more raise in it

    so if you’re long but underwater if seriously consider some tactical trading to get clear

    the ongoing rationalisation of events by +18 month holders though suggests they are in the wrong space

    stock market is ectremely unforgiving on misfiring juniors

    you can’t take buy and hold approaches to such stocks

    buffets ways are entirely predicated around positive free cashflow stocks
 
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