Potential share price value if this first well comes in for FUT in November and December 2009:
Potential Brian Well #1 BCF Payout Table
FUT QUANTITY AND SHARE = 28bcfe (on the re-entry only) @ 38.5% NRI
FUT US $4.70/mcf gas (gas in ground (Henry Hub 19 Oct 2009))
USD50.64m or AUD 2.1cps
Therefore the FUT share price may be 2.1c + cash of 0.2c = AUD 2.3cps
Potential share price value if the field comes in for FUT:
Potential of Tuscaloosa Reservoir
FUT Ownership: 38.5% of 1.26tcf
at USD $4.70 /mcf (gas in ground (Henry Hub 19 Oct 2009))
gives a value of USD $2.61 billion or AUD $0.93 per FUT share
How 38.5% is calculated when FUT owns 50% of the field: FUT are not 50% of the field in true terms as the landowner royalty is 23%. So while FUT own 50% of the field they pay out a 23 % NRI (net rev int) royalty thus making FUT's % stand at 50% of 77% = 38.5%.
FUT Price at posting:
0.8¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held