CFE 0.00% 0.2¢ cape lambert resources limited

Target share price

  1. 524 Posts.
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    Thought I would share my target share price for CFE

    Target Share price CFE – 27/06/17
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0 Cobalt Price US $ pt / Production tpa
    3000

    3500

    4000

    4500

    1
    50,000

    0.086

    0.101

    0.115

    0.130

    2
    55,000

    0.099

    0.115

    0.132

    0.148

    3
    60,000

    0.111

    0.130

    0.148

    0.167

    4
    65,000

    0.123

    0.144

    0.164

    0.185

    5
    70,000

    0.136

    0.158

    0.181

    0.204

    6
    75,000

    0.148

    0.173

    0.197

    0.222

    7
    80,000

    0.160

    0.187

    0.214

    0.241

    8
    85,000

    0.173

    0.201

    0.230

    0.259


    Share price forecasts assume US AU exchange rate of .75  
    Calculations have been made assuming a 50% earn to CFE based on their JV agreement
    A conservative price to earnings multiple of 3.5 x has been used and represents significant upside should the market value at a higher multiple.
    Calculations assume a AISC of US $15000 / Tonne

    Based on this I am looking to achieve a 16.4 cent SP by Dec 31st. Significant upside still remains if Cobalt pushes past US $65,000 pt or if we experience a significant drop in the $AU. For every rise in the Cobalt price of $US 10,000 pt then a rise in the SP of about 3 cents can be expected

    WCS if Cobalt retreats to $US 55,000 pt and the JV operators are only able to achieve a 3000 tpa output a share price of 8.6 cents still remains possible

    GLTAH IMHO
    Have a great week all!!!!
 
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