TSE 5.50% $1.06 transfield services limited

"DisYour aritmatic is good in normal times 2.58 is right.These...

  1. Dis
    3,741 Posts.
    "Dis

    Your aritmatic is good in normal times 2.58 is right.

    These arn't normal times at all.

    They dropped the price 20% BELOW the book build minimum and still came up $50 million short.

    This will rattle everyone even those who took up stock in the bookbuild.

    I would expect a big run for the exit when trade resume.

    For my guess I expect it to close below $1.50

    Any other estimaes??"

    If it closes below $1.50 you are valuing the current business as it stands at about $0.82 per share:

    $250M new injected equity / 365M total shares = 0.68

    $1.50 - 0.68 = $0.82 per share

    So from $16 high to $0.82. 95% drop in the value of the business? That's BNB territory for a well run engineering firm that is predicting increasing profits and has business contracts that go on despite a recession. Also will point out that each share owns the equivalent of $0.31 worth of TSI by my calcs!

    If I had any money I'd be buying at that price. Unfortunatley I spent it all buying last week's bargain of a lifetime! ;p
 
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