These are the guys who called IO at 30 and Oil at 20 and gold at 800 for 2016 . They are clowns
Guys - I had a conversation with the CFO which will be continued tomorrow as I am going to make sure I understand the GRR business fully . I am told the company will do more in Investor Comms and I mentioned I heard this 6 months ago for zero result. We discussed the need to discuss expectations of cash flow and costs going forward. One thing I did understand is the slippages caused by wet weather on the last quarter impact costs in the ways , one there is remedial work to stabilise walls and then there is less movement of ore which creates in affect a double whammy on costs .
Working backwards and assuming costs on the higher end ( 85 ) which is likely to come in Lower , I estimate that with current pellet price of 104 ( excluding today's increase ) the realised pellet price of 92 usd should be reflected in a AUD price of 124 and thus margins of 37 dollars or time . Thus cash flow even if cash costs remain at 85 should be over 20m. Even with the spend on mill parts , cash should increase by circa 6-8 m this quarter with the additional benefit of having funded more than half the total mill changer costs . This shores up the likelihood of another .5c dividend for the half year . So my conclusion is if costs remain in the mid 80s which apparently they won't , the current margins will see cash increase which is great given mill changeover costs
By this time tomorrow I should be able to understand the numbers and importantly the likely future numbers a whole lot better . In the end I want to be estimating the quarterly results a whole lot better
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- GRR
- Still trading at Disc to Cash. Why?
Still trading at Disc to Cash. Why?, page-538
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 120 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add GRR (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
26.0¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $266.1M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
26.0¢ | 26.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $60.19K | 231.8K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
16 | 251646 | 25.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
26.0¢ | 47449 | 5 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
8 | 219779 | 0.270 |
9 | 458580 | 0.265 |
26 | 932290 | 0.260 |
7 | 172530 | 0.255 |
22 | 717920 | 0.250 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.275 | 405759 | 8 |
0.280 | 942702 | 17 |
0.285 | 372332 | 13 |
0.290 | 1710676 | 31 |
0.295 | 651900 | 8 |
Last trade - 12.37pm 04/12/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
GRR (ASX) Chart |