R15, I took your snooze advice but have been looking at all the quarterlies for a sanity check and forward planning. Below is not advice as this is a hobby and also Valuations are always a bit arbitrary. Still can't fathom this at .009 but it is what it is.
Some ways I have looked at it and the numbers change all the time:
Most interesting is to compare actual results with peers, they are all at different stages so only a guide but on this basis imo there appears to be a disconnect to the numbers which can be partly explained by sentiment and also overall market. Hope your all travelling ok.
- Production at $90k per barrel plus cash: Gives 204 boed x $90k = $18.4m + cash $1.8m = $20.2m = 2.7c
- Net assets - December were $18.1m, we have had no dusters and added some exploration/development costs so imo June number will be around $19.5m which is 2.7c
- Valuation of reported reserves for existing projects. (See quarterly for table) using these numbers and Oil Price US$106.70, Gas $3.80/mcf gives with 5 year life gets around 2.4c for existing and Louise around 0.8c or around 3.3c if Louise is successful. If we divide by pie r squared we get current level of around 1cent My workings for this are below but please double check.
Cheers and all opinion only
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