Just throwing some thoughts...The good ,the bad & the ugly. Hope others can add or amend ,because KAB is a difficult beast to fully understand. ------ 1) Noble: Friend or foe. I lean towards a friend...Kab is too small for a major to target. The early payment is a plus. Paying for trucking the ore is a plus....It saves KAB paying upfront for logistics. ------ 2) OKAP: Converted $1m debt at 0.01....Why so generous? The largest S/H with roughly 15%. $700Ks remaining debt ,with fees payable in share.....Will they convert? -------- 3) Celtic: An enigma. $1m debt with fees in share....Likely a seller. Will they convert?...When? ----- 4) Shareholders: OKAP 15%. EIM Capital 6%. David Scanlon 5%. Heerden 3%. Brewer roughly 1%. ? Noble. ? Celtic. Not a bad shareholder base. ------ 5)Governance: Don't see anything glaringly nasty. OKAP with 15% is unlikely to harm its goose.....A holding not large enough for mischief. Heerden has enough personal vested interest. Noble on the board is a nice safeguard. ------- 6) MC vs EV: A small MC is rather misleading if we take liabilities into account. OKAP /celtic/noble....around $12m of debt...$10m is a welcome debt. ----- 6) Dilution: 60m options at 0.01. 300m options at 0.012. Noble warrants. ? Celtic...?OKAP. ----- Didn't mention anything about production...resource...cash flow.....these are unknown at this stage. Took up my options....Long dated....the previous options were trading at a hefty premium despite a very short time frame to exercise. Don't usually get too involved in analyzing resources penny dreadfuls ( don't have enough knowledge about digging stuff) , but KAB offers something different with its move to production.....Noble's support is also intriguing me. Any feedback welcome....good,bad or ugly.
KAB Price at posting:
0.4¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held