IOH 0.00% 70.0¢ iron ore holdings limited

so will we ever mine, or simply develop & sell, page-10

  1. 5,275 Posts.
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    G'day Mac, good to see you back on the forum. My views aren't based on anything I've heard, but I do firmly believe this is the direction we are headed.

    Recently I've sat back and really tried to look at this thing with fresh eyes and I feel that there are several things which can't be ignored or denied:

    1. Wroxby recently increased their holdings, he is creeping up his overall %.

    2. The buyback only further increases the overall % he holds. He has already begun his move IMHO - how much say did Ryan Stokes have on the buy-back decision in the board room?

    3. The recent IV deal with FMG could potentially be worth over $1 Billion to IOH (dependant on strong future iron ore prices). If Stokes is bullish on iron ore, why would he allow little fish like us a slice of that pie when he could simple gobble the whole thing up for himself right now?

    4. Stokes has his son on the board & he knows what is cooking at Maitland. If IOH were cooking up a big JV with FMG (another great money spinner) again I ask why would he allow the minnows a nibble?

    Overall, I simply believe that the IOH story has now become so compelling that Stokes would be foolish not to want it all for himself.

    It now becomes a question of timing and a palatable price for the top 20 that he needs to agree for a sale.

    The question in my mind is at what price? I think the recent options packages awarded to Vorster & Randall plus our historical high around $2.70 would suggest he probably needs to put at least $2.50-$2.80 on the table to pick up the company.
 
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