AUZ 7.69% 1.2¢ australian mines limited

Not trying to be cheeky at all- I think the main of the post was...

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    Not trying to be cheeky at all- I think the main of the post was worthwhile considering.

    >original post with the offending last sentence wiped<

    Processing laterite ores at a cutoff of 0.3% Ni is simply ludicrous.

    Here's a real life example:

    BHP built Ravensthorpe for AU$2.2B (BFS forecast of AU$1.4B CAPEX) and incurred a further commissioning loss of AU$1.4B before shutting it down within one year of opening.

    First Quantum "won" the tender to buy Ravensthorpe for ~$0.3B in 2009 and poured 100's millions more money into the project before reopening in 2011.

    They operated at a head grade of 1.2-1.4% Ni but seldom exceeded 80% of nameplate nickel production (produced 20kt Ni instead of forecast 25Kt).

    Ravensthorpe shut down two years ago as revenues fell well below total production costs of US$6.34/lb.

    Today's nickel price of $5.80/lb is still patently insufficient to justify turning Ravensthorpe back on despite writing down most of its project capital (>$4B) and only requiring a few months to get going again.

    AUZ can only manage to spit out an "economic reserve" on the basis of some highly questionable Ni+Co price forecasts, construction and production timelines, rosy capital projections, upbeat lending assumptions and a few government grants.

    P

    End original post. Perhaps now my above reply
    Might make some sense.
    Last edited by Kablooey: 15/03/19
 
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