I think the coming result of the seismic (aug 22) is crucial for key. The following is based on my feeling:
1- Poor result ==> sp arund 8 cents. 2-Average results ==> sp above 30 cents ==> plan for production will follow ==> sp above 50 cents. 3- Better than average results ==> sp above 40 cents ==> plan for production ==> sp above 70 cents.
I think the chances for (1) are 20% and we have 80% chances for (2) or (3).
Yes. I acknowledge the fact that this is a wishful thinking. But, I also factor in the fact that key found gas and this survey to confirm the find from last year...in a way, we have low risk for poor result...
Anyone here with industry experience (oil&gas engineer) could comment on the chances for a poor find giving the fact key drilled and found the gas last year?
To be honest, I am tempted to buy but I am scared. I already hold a nice number of shares. Thank u, Aer.
KEY Price at posting:
13.9¢ Sentiment: ST Buy Disclosure: Held