No I certainly would not say it is all about the tariffs, apologies if my post came off that way. I think many are still dubious about whether they will reach an agreement, and by no means would I say it is near resolved. I've said before I think it will require a genuine resolution, not more "we are talking and we are trying hard to solve our issues", which they have stated numerous times without any notable follow-through. Although I will say the very initial response was a positive one, the sell down following that does suggest little faith in them following through again. Your point about it being one of the "distractions" is an interesting one, and I think to argue it has been used recently as a tool to try and manipulate the movement of the markets (both up and down) in recent times would be a fair one. So long as the uncertainty hangs over us, we are vulnerable to that kind of "financial headline" manipulation, perhaps evidenced by the large spike in volatility.I do think that even without the tariff spat there was a need for consolidation to try and get some value back into the market, and little doubt there are genuine reasons to have a bearish outlook heading into 2019. But that does not mean that the market will not find reasons in the short term to have a bullish run. There can be an iffy long term outlook and still have these short term bull runs. I do suspect your view is a fair bit longer term than mine though, and I do share the view that longer term, it needs to pull back to bring some value back to the market, too hot for too long only feeds into the old boom-bust cycle. The big tech stocks that helped drive market growth (talking the like of the FAANG stocks) in particular I felt needed the heat taken out of them.
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