I am not good at picking ups and downs for short trades...so I...

I am not good at picking ups and downs for short trades...so I resort to looking at something longer term..
i.e At this price is pretty much a good price for what it can be in a 1-3yrs+...

I think so..

And if I bought 10% too early or 10% too late, so be it...I didn't buy it to pocket 10%.
I would have taken 10% of my purchase and put it on red or black. Then I would still have my 90%, maybe gained 10%.