Pickard can't really say anything at all for the following reasons:
1. Stating too quickly that the deal will not change will imply the following: a.) Shell are expecting huge margins from this deal and we're being pitched a low-ball offer b.) They are endorsing that the resource tax will not stall their plans as they will still receive an acceptable commercial return. This will give the government a reason to hold the super tax rate where it is.
2. If they revise the deal down then: a.) Opens bid up to more parties b.) Pushes shareholders on the fence to reject the deal
best strategy for them is to stay silent and let the miners fight for a watered down version of the super tax.
This doesn't really change my dislike of the government & Shell though.
AOE Price at posting:
$4.84 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held