ADI 2.35% $3.05 apn industria reit

sell side at .41, page-13

  1. 7,782 Posts.
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    the ones buying are taking up a position on the basis that
    AWE is far to low and know the ADI bod have to reply in a
    very short time frame to any unconditional offer, the
    announcement will be in the next few days, but definitely
    by the end of the week

    AWE have not been a great performer, with the AWE share
    under performing to the ASX 200 over the past year..

    but recent IP and 60 day flow rates have sparked AWE up..
    they suddenly see value!!

    the AWE management see the eagleford as a very lucrative
    item to have ownership of.. they have a sudden supreme
    confidence in the eagleford and currently their efforts are
    primarily to steal the sugarkane at the lowball bid price
    they have offered

    adi and the jvp have performed at exceptional levels
    compared to the ASX 200 over the past 12 months imho.. and
    i am not complaining about their performance one bit.

    the jvp has only just started producing from the eagleford,
    only since late january, and hilcorp are introducing more
    rigs into the region, that i am very aware of and thats why
    i hold, i absolutely believe there will substantial
    increases in rigs and wells being drilled in the AMI this
    year and into the coming years..

    AWE dont want any further value to come into the adi
    share,, they are striking very very early and thus stifling
    any opportunity for the adi long term holders to achieve
    any future value..

    hartleys say this about the sugarkane just in march. just
    b4 the morgan result which was staggering.

    btw i hear that morgan was the highest producing oil well
    in texas for a number of days!!!!

    Hartleys Initial View

    We recently upgraded ADI to a Buy based on the initial flow
    rates received from its first two wells and consistent
    information from wells in the surrounding acreage. This
    new information has increased our confidence in the
    potential of the resource and we re-iterate our Buy
    recommendation and short term price target of 45cps.


    If initial results from the next three wells (expected
    over the next 2-3 months) continue to be strong, there is
    substantial room in our valuation for further large
    upgrades in price target and valuation, as indicated by our
    unrisked valuation of 188cps


    http://www.adelphienergy.com.au/files/brokerreports/Hartleys%20Broker%20Report%2026%20March%202010.pdf



    the jvp very close to having the results from many wells
    just placed on production driving more value into the share
    with reserves estimates.. AWE have struck prior to that
    next milestone with an excessively low bid imho



 
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