IOH 0.00% 70.0¢ iron ore holdings limited

screaming buy, page-8

  1. 5,275 Posts.
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    Doc, all fair points.

    To be clear, I didn't mean to suggest that management were somehow lining their own pockets with the $20 Mill p/a operating costs. I still think the management team is excellent.

    I was merely pointing out that if in fact the royalty component from this deal turns out to be worth only around $20 Mill p/a it barely covers our operating costs and therefore probably adds limited value to IOH in terms of share price. It's not exactly a reason to rush in and buy the stock & I think we've seen evidence of that today.

    It does give us a platform to add free cash-flow (i.e. genuine profit) from future deals (e.g. Bungaroo/Maitland) but one of our three pillars is effectively gone and we would want the next two to generate much more value than $20 Mill p/a or we are really up the creek.

    Anyway, I should hold fire on this issue until we get a bit more clarity around the royalty because I'm really speculating here and hopefully $20 Mill p/a is indeed a worst-case scenario and the real number is up around $50-$60 Mill with a decent mine life.

 
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