I dont know about economy going down in the future but the actual business activity is going up in august very strong. All past indicators are bearish, but bultic dry index actually is real time and not past. Check the baltic dry index performance here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=BDIY:IND
If this trend continues then we should see metal and oil prices much higher in this year.
right angle triangle - bearish signal, page-16
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