There's alot of assumptions to be made about IGR's fundamentals in 1-2 years time but here goes:-
(a) That the POG remains about $1550 AUD/oz (b) That UG is successful (c) That the plant can maintain 1.2 mil tons P/A throughput (d) That recovery rate is 93% (e) That open pit mining avrages 2.5 G/T grade (f) That UG yields 5 G/T in adequate quantities (g) That the hedge is paid off (h) That the blended feed grade would be 3.25 G/T ( made up of 50% open pit @ 2.6 G/T. 15% stockpile @ 1.5 G/T & 35% UG @ 5G/T.)
The sum would look something like:
- 1.2 mil x 3.25 = 3.9 mil ozs -devide by 31 9approx) = 125,800 ozs -Multiply by 93% recovery = 118,250 ozs -Multiply by $600/oz (NPAT) = $71 mil NPAT -Devide by 934 mi (no of shares) = 7.6c EPS -multiply by say 8 P/E = Approx 61C/share
To achieve all this IMO management will have to be on top of their game, moderate spending and not dilute shares further.
IGR Price at posting:
31.0¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Not Held