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08/05/18
07:41
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Originally posted by eshmun
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Hi Nord,
I think the market is seeing the relative value in those two mid-tier companies after having ignored them in favour of the big names that have had their valuations run up strongly of late.
On the other hand investors have become a bit nervous having seen companies like CMM, KIN and BRB downgraded as feasibility studies are published, projects are progressed and resources declared. Same happened for WAF as you will remember. The volatility of these stories does seem unreasonably high and it also seems as if "progress" is being punished more often than not in the last year/s. I suspect this arises because the values of these development plays are run up to high during the exploration and delineation phases and don't reflect the true risks and the funding hurdles.
Having said that I also bought a small initial holding in EAR today based simply on the NST TO play, although I'm not convinced that the price can't fall further from here as the downtrend is about 3 1/2 months old now and isn't showing much sign of reversal. The logic that the price is under the NST average, so it must be a good buy, doesn't negate the logic that also says if NST want EAR they would want it as cheaply as they can get it. Nothing but games, games and more games in the markets these days. I'll wait until they release BFS before buying anymore. Esh
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Sorry guys. I think it may fall further. No one has mentioned that word - delay. We should have known about the BFS now - according to previous timelines - and it seems the market has little faith in us producing by year end.