http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/us_oil.cfm US govt reckons output will drop to 8.2 million barrels per day down from 9.4 million. So perhaps US demand for foreign oil will increase and help push that price along. Graphs are a little outdated but still rather informative when considering POO
the below graph is misleading in that the right and left hand scales are different so bear that in mind