mossums, I bought today @4.61. I think that is the floor. Others might chase 4.40. Time will tell if I am right.
People are fretting about Brexit. The polls show it evenly balanced, while the bookies have it at 1-3. I trust the bookies. I see $6.50 after Brexit fails and after half year report due 30 July. I think profit will be strongly and surprisingly positive.
This is a quality business. They have exited low-margin fixed interest and enlarged equities, which is where all the upside is. Balancing the interests of talented investor staff and shareholders is tough. I think they have it about right. Another thing that gives me comfort is the consistent writedown of goodwill on acquisitions - about £50m a year off the reported profit and tax-efficient.
I am not keen on share buybacks and wish instead they bought on market to offset dilution from rewarding staff with equity. These two are nearly identical, or could be.
GLTA
Ash
HGG Price at posting:
$4.64 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held