UXA 0.00% 0.0¢ uxa resources ltd

Current MC=12.2 million, 3.9c/share.Cash on hand roughly 1c/...

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    Current MC=12.2 million, 3.9c/share.

    Cash on hand roughly 1c/ share (suppose no revenue from GAA).

    Projects:

    1, Dome 5, Mundi Plains, NSW.

    I know most people donot like this project, me too.
    This is the main reason the SP drop from 5c to 3.9c.

    However, as Dome 5 is so close to Broken Hill and only 55km to railway, we really cannot ignore its huge potential.

    UXA has a target of 5Mt @ 12%Zn, 4%Pb, 30g/t Ag this equals 0.8 million tonne ZN&Pb metal, 5.2 million ounce Ag.
    Market value = $2.2 billion

    40% of this IGV= $880 million.

    Once UXA's target is proven, its 100% sure Dome 5 will be mined in next few years--- only to railway.

    but, atm I value Dome5 project -0.3c/share.( UXA has to spend 1.2 million before it can withdraw.

    upside potential(if target proven):
    shoule be worth $15-30million. =5-10c/share.

    2, Geoscience Associates Australia & Prompt Fission Neutron (PFN) technology

    Purchased price= 5.5m +1.3 + 1.8m= $8.6 million.

    = 2.75c/share= my valuation.


    Upside potential:
    As we all know, there will be more U3O8 exploration activities, because the U3O8 price up 40%. If UXA can operate GAA & PFN well, I believe the true of this business should be double the purchase price= $17.2 million.= 5.5c/ share.

    3, SA - Stuart Shelf ?C deep Iron Oxide Copper Gold (IOCG) targets. JV with Straits. Straits can earn 70% by spending $10m on exploration over 7 years. This is easy to calculate: 70% of exploration value= $10m, so the rest 30% is worth $10/7*3= 4.29 milliom=1.4c/share.

    Upside potential: 5-20c/share.

    4, Nabarlek North U3O8 project. JV with top 500 world company.

    As Exploration will start in May 2011, currently I value Nil.

    Upside potential
    5-50c/share.


    5, Yambla - Harts Range Uranium and HREE project, Northern Territory.

    Previously results:
    anomalous uranium up to 1,440 ppm and confirmation of the presence of Terbium, Dysprosium and Yttrium.

    Now 200 samples just acquired.

    As the results due in next 30 days, I value Nil.

    upside potential:
    5c-20c/share.

    Conclusion:

    I believe the fair value is based on cash + 2,GAA&PFN + 3, SA - Stuart Shelf

    =1c+2.75c+1.4c
    =5.1c/share

    upside potential= cash +1+2+3+4+5
    =21c/share ---101c/share

    welcome any comments!

    Thank you for your reading!

    Good luck!


 
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