Yes I am a happy chappy nsw004 - but happier now after your...

Yes I am a happy chappy nsw004 - but happier now after your answer! I am a novice (1 year trading my super) and just wanted to know what experience you have - as you cannot beat learned from experience in the university of adversity! If/when CTM strikes the goods - do you think Vale will make a bid for CTM?

I have been confused on the timing of the next resources boom - I follow Martin Armstrong and his Socrates computer - he picks trends and the turning point for his economic confidence model is late November, 2018. In a nutshell, he see's the outer peripheries coming unstuck first - the EU, Japan, China, the developing nations and the capital will flow into the US stock-market and boost the US dollar incredibly high. (This is because the US $ is the reserve currency of the world - still - Yuan to follow, post 2030).  He is predicting a commodity crisis (food crops) post 2020 to mids and then the resources boom after 2024 - similar timelines to what you are suggesting? I think this time we in Oz will also feel real recessionary pain for the first time in 25 years. You should check him out - I did have his subscription service for the ASX 200 and it was incredibly accurate - I just did not know how to trade it! In essence he believes Gold/Silver (of which I am a collector) will go through the roof when the confidence in Governments collapses, as people realise that basic services and then pensions cannot be met and all the western Governments have in their arsenal is raising taxes. 

Anyways you have more than Goldbug22 with you now, you have all-in spackman & nifty NTman - alongside multiples of others too! 

Thanks for sharing your knowledge and the journey!