AVZ 0.00% 18.5¢ avz minerals limited

Possible changes to DRC minng code, page-306

  1. 57 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 34
    I read this article a while ago - I tend to give reuters a bit more credit than much of the commentary on the net.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/africa-mining-ahome/column-congo-and-zambia-win-fight-with-copper-miners-but-at-a-cost-andy-home-idUSL5N20L66V

    If the link gets hit - google - congo and zambia win fight .

    The most interesting bit to me was this statement - because I have heard from AVZ about the possibility of a five year tax holiday. And wondered why five years in particular.

    "Another key proviso of last year’s new mining code was a reduction in operating contract stability from 10 to 5 years, meaning more frequent potential shifts of the goal-posts by the government. "

    @Scarpa - I've a lot of respect for your analysis usually, and accept that sovereign risk might usually be accounted for by changes to the NPV calcs - 13% instead of 10% - but respectfully that approach doesn't seem satisfactory to me (even if it is how it is usually done) because if any government (of any country) changes there mining code to a large extent - or shows a pattern of reneging on previous commitments (eg - no changes for 10 years) then that would seem to be a far greater risk to anyone considering stumping up investment capital in the first place than a mere few percent change in the NPVs reflects.

    I'm not trying to fear monger - I'm trying to be realistic and to assess risk. I don't know yet if the statement from this reuters article I've quoted is accurate.

    It is perhaps worth considering if the possible 5 year tax holiday is 5 years only because the mining code only allows for 5 years though. It is perhaps worth considering if lithium might be deemed a strategic resource by a future government after 5 years. Though compared to the news flow coming in the next month or so on transport studies etc these considerations are minor ones in my opinion.

 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add AVZ (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.