GRR 0.00% 26.0¢ grange resources limited.

Operating Cash flow Analysis Shipping: 15 USD per ton AUD/USD:...

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    Operating Cash flow Analysis
    Shipping: 15 USD per ton
    AUD/USD: 0.775 (it will clearly rise)
    FOB price received: 129
    Cash Costs : 75 AUD (maximum, they will drop a lot from this quarter onwards as last 2 quarters were abnormally high)
    Overheads: 4 miilion AUD
    Pellet production: 2.5 million minimum

    Operating Cash flow: 130,000 AUD
    Capex: 30 million going rate
    Taxation: 20 million
    Free cash flow: 80 million AUD
    Company valuation (10 x - conservative) : 800 million AUD or 70 cents

    All the above without accounting for higher IO prices and without adding the cash in the bank which will be north of 300 million in 2 years.
    Good luck !
 
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