Operating Cash flow Analysis
Shipping: 15 USD per ton
AUD/USD: 0.775 (it will clearly rise)
FOB price received: 129
Cash Costs : 75 AUD (maximum, they will drop a lot from this quarter onwards as last 2 quarters were abnormally high)
Overheads: 4 miilion AUD
Pellet production: 2.5 million minimum
Operating Cash flow: 130,000 AUD
Capex: 30 million going rate
Taxation: 20 million
Free cash flow: 80 million AUD
Company valuation (10 x - conservative) : 800 million AUD or 70 cents
All the above without accounting for higher IO prices and without adding the cash in the bank which will be north of 300 million in 2 years.
Good luck !
Pellets @ 115 USD
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