CAB 2.67% $2.19 cabcharge australia limited

If you assume 5% nation-wide from the taxi services revenue, you...

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    If you assume 5% nation-wide from the taxi services revenue, you end up with 45m loss of revenues.

    Take this away from the 60m profit before tax and you get 15m.

    Remove tax: 10.5m

    Add in profits from CDG and CityFleet (~21m) = 31.5m


    Worst case P/E = 465m / 31.5m
    = 14.8 * earnings
    (This doesn't include loss of Regions 1 and 3 from Buses and Coaches segment)

    While there is a consideration of 1-2m NPAT because of those region losses, you're still in the area of 15 times earnings.

    And this assumes that:
    - CAB maitain their 2.5% payment to taxi networks and operators
    - They maintain the same level of business (there's a good argument for an increase business as the volume required to reach 'break-even' is much higher)
    - All states implement the 5% surcharge cap

    They're only back of the envelope type calcs, but food for thought nevertheless...
 
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