Puzzled. You have provided the most relevant fact set (and...

Puzzled. You have provided the most relevant fact set (and really the only one) to assess this situation on. Genuinely appreciate you sharing your findings.

Given this is gambling on a positive outcome at this point and NOT investing, generally in betting the house or the bookies hold the balance of the odds.

In this case we know:
fact 1) the decision has not been made yet - hence the 'leak' theory is rubbish.
Known fact 2) probability of positive outcome is high based on history
known fact 3) you can't lose more than all your money (ie if it goes to zero will be negative 1 bagger) but you can gain more than all your money (ie if all good and wipes out negative sentiment at same time anyone's guess between 2-4 bagger in defined short time frame)

In short if I was a big time professional gambler In the world poker champs I would buy A fat $1m bundle of shares tomorrow and sit storey faced puffing on a cigar.

Since I'm not and my wife will get cross I'll still top up a bit and cross my fingers ... whatever your sentiment odds in favour of buyers, reason there's sellers is none wants to lose their capital, different mindset to the casino.