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11/01/18
17:36
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Originally posted by dolcevita
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I reached a conclusion. Obviously what I said was an opinion. Often I say IMO but if I failed to at one point, it's obvious it was one.
This is a chat room full of opinions. I'm transparent at how I reach mine.
Speaking of facts vs opinions, you can't say Oposura is necessarily going to be inferior to Alacran, in terms of a second string project.
We had known resources at Alacran when Oposura was taken on.
This is a phenomenon of timing rather than absolute resource size.
Each involves guesswork about the future.
Oposoura was selected as the best one from over 60 other possible projects. Surely that says something?
So. It's going to be reasonably profitable but you must surely agree that it also has the potential to become equally as significant as Alacran, if Alacran doesn't increase from $100mil and the target resource of 250-300k of Zn is met at Oposura. My back of the envelope calculations say about $900mil worth.
If it goes on to exceed that target and this is entirely possible, your assumptions will again need updating. It might not be second string any longer and in terms of timing, it will give us income rapidly. I think that's the point of the Oposura exercise TBH. Are we in agreement there?
God it gets tough in here with you guys! lol
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Hi dolcevita
$900M?? ...whoeee! how do you get that number? [you need to supply your working assumptions .... as a best case scenario the number I get is $350m ... i.e. revenue net ~$200/tonne of mined ore = $35m/y for a 10 year life of mine ... but it could be much less than that if some of the worries put forward by @tangs are realised]
If you have not seen this you might find find it interesting...
http://cdn.ceo.ca.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/1cce4n1-Module 1 - Doug Beattie on Zinc.pdf
As far as opinions.. I have nothing to add atm ... when the results come out then things will be easier to understand ...
for general reference across a wide range of commodities this is a useful link
https://ceo.ca/