Really hard to get a handle on what is going on Bill with the lack of good reliable unbiased info coming out of Eritrea.
Maybe the most likely way things will play out is increasing splits in the military and a steady slow weakening of the regime leading to the military taking over directly then that opening the doors for a future democracy there, thats only a guess though.
Whatever happens likely looking at months of uncertainty at least.
The potash company i think you might mean is South boulder as you can see they have been hit hard as well and are looking to raise the funds for their project and thinking of demerging their non Eritrean assets.
http://www.southbouldermines.com.au/
http://www.asx.com.au/asx/research/companyInfo.do?by=asxCode&asxCode=STB
http://hotcopper.com.au/post_single.asp?fid=1&tid=1936075&msgid=11314509
http://hotcopper.com.au/post_threadview.asp?fid=1&tid=1892031&msgno=8836874#8836874
http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/charts/charts.asp?ticker=STB:AU two year slump pattern again.
http://www.nevsun.com/investors/quotes/
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=SGC.V+Interactive#symbol=sgc.v;range=2y;compare=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined;
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=CHN.AX#symbol=chn.ax;range=2y;compare=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined;
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