It just isn't going to happen. Magna are not going to try a takeover before results are known. And 30c wouldn't be successful anyway. Why would investors sell out so cheaply on the cusp of knowing whether there is a very rich field out there. Simply Magna will bide their time and if field is proven will pay up an appropriate amount OR another likely scenario might be a 50/50 partnership to take control of the commercialisation.
To me this OEX play is a high risk/high reward one. If Cambay doesn't achieve the results then OEX share price will get hammered from current levels, if it is proven as commercial, the share price will explode.
OEX Price at posting:
16.5¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held