TDO 7.14% 9.1¢ 3d energi limited

Dear All,Currently I don't own any shares but am thinking of...

  1. 2,000 Posts.
    Dear All,

    Currently I don't own any shares but am thinking of buying a couple. I have done a calculation for the company and would be interested in getting your thoughts on what I have prepared.

    I have analysed the TDO Announcement dated 14/01/14 re Independent Reserves Assessment for West Seahorse (WSH) Oil Field and I have come up with a NPV of US$0.89 per TDO share which is significantly higher that the existing share price of approx. AUD$0.105

    My calculations (in US$) are based on the following:

    West Seahorse Oil Field (mid case 10.3M barrels)

    Total Revenue $958M

    Total Costs $230M

    Term - Life of Field 5 yrs

    Capital Cost $140M

    Discount rate 9%

    NPV$426.3M * 49.9% (TDO entitlement in JV) *237,523,000 (TDO shares on issue)= USD$0.89 or AUD$0.98 per share

    The high case for the WSH oil field is 33.4M barrels, hence NPV would be 3 times higher at approx AUD$2.94 per share

    This NPV doesn't take into account TDO's Otway Basin gas field.

    TDO looks like a good investment to me with possible production starting early 2015. What do you reckon of this quick calculation?
 
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9.5¢ 9.5¢ 9.1¢ $22.25K 235.3K

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2 109999 9.1¢
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
9.9¢ 387595 2
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