I can't see a lot of logic in your analysis, let's take this step by step -
Plus Peter Wright's holding = 22,652,642 shares
Equals = 1,466,321,280 shares
SOI = 3,346,732,599
The boys skin in the game = 43.81%
Clearly, based on the past, the Board are avoiding any significant CR....why....
1. It hits their wallet harder than ours.
2. We are close to producing, and can fund any past and future costs through cashflow.
3. Bizz wants his $2mil cash/loan back.
4. Bizz's average buy-in = circa 0.019 (1.9c) - 1,099,902,623 shares x 0.019 = $20,898,150
5. Peter Wright has loaned the company money, and wants it back.
The processing will be out-sourced - Mill/Plant offsite
"3rd party processing options – Laneway have received several offers for potential toll treatment of the Agate Creek ore which are currently being reviewed."
There are two (2) mills located in Charters Towers, both have a nameplate capacity of 650ktpa @ 95% recovery.
Both own their own environmental approvals (ie not LNY's responsibility in regards to the granting of the ML).
IMO, the EOPL processing deal is history, so forget 100ktpa @ 88% recovery rate.
Transport costs will rise, but that'll be covered by an improvement in recovery of 7%. Not to mention 6.5 x faster processing rate (and 6.5 x faster money in the bank/gold bars in the vault).
ML is "expected during FY 2018".....with "Mining is planned to commence shortly after Mining Lease grant subject to any wet season constraints."
Hope that helps,
LNY Price at posting:
0.3¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held