The tech and operations are more or less known, the only thing that will effect SP is revenue. Funding is the only thing holding the SP back, if that starts looking viable she'll rocket. A single bad announcement regarding funds can tank it.
If rev comes in from the Diamonds it could ease tensions but fundamentally the company currently lives and dies by the rev from the pearls being sufficient to get to the second batch. I'm optimistic, but I've no illusions regarding the risk.
Though if the loan doesn't come through the rest of the wish list will go up in flames.