If NAGs gets one PASS Contracts then it will get ongoing and the...

If NAGs gets one PASS Contracts then it will get ongoing and the pits will be full within 10 years (because there are multiple future PASS Projects).

The Capacity of the pits is 6.2M tonnes, so even at $50/T (though I think $70-$80 is realistic). 6.2m T x $50 Net is $310M Profit or $31M pa. Say Net of $30M pa Profit fed into a EPS of 12 = $360M. There are about 5M shares (grossed up) so that 72c Share.

That's why it spikes on a sniff (25c plus). On the actual for PASS Contracts I reckon around 70c and I've just shown the basis for that Assumption based on $50/T (72c). I't'll be more than $50/T and SP will be closer to $1 imo.