RBC Capital Markets analyst Ben Wilson said the AWE share price reaction suggests the market is positioning for either a higher bid from CERCG, a higher revised offer from MinRes or a possible third offer.
He said a cash bid at a similar price to an implied scrip bid would likely be preferred by shareholders and the AWE board.
Under the MinRes bid, AWE shareholders would end up owning about 13.1 per cent of the combined group. MinRes has a market value of about $3.1 billion.
AWE Price at posting:
85.0¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held