MLM 6.06% 3.5¢ metallica minerals limited

Hi  Hilly    Good  post  and  I  understand  your  logic  but ...

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    Hi  Hilly


        Good  post  and  I  understand  your  logic  but  do  we  really  want  to  roll  the  dice  and  take  on  this  risk  for  a  "potential"  best  case  scenario  33%  increase  in  EPS  based  on  NPV  forecasts ?


        Have  a  look  at  this  graph  from  MLM's  presentation. Yes  the  "experts"  appear  to  be  forecasting  a  positive  price  outlook, but........reality  is  that  for  about  2/3rds  of  the  time  period  of  this  graph  the  price  achieved  was  less  than  Melior's  forecast  cost  to  produce. ie  a  66%  chance  of  going  broke.

        https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1352/1352351-303afe9771fc97b0ef84b06b7339a32d.jpg


       In  regards  to  the  preface  that  "you have to use the PFS financials as gospel, because they have been put together by trained professionals"  well  that's  your  call  however  I  tend  to  question  any  Report  that  is  paid  for  by  a  proponent, whether  analysts, engineers, geo's  etc  etc. They  are  a  good  reference  point  but  as  far  as  being  gospel, I  don't  think  so. Do  you  think  the  "experts"  got  it  right  the  last  few  times  this  Project  failed ?


       I  think  the  Monto  Minerals  shareholders  that  lost  the  lot  on  this  Project  not  so  long  ago  would  be  screaming  "Don't  do  it"..............................and  I'm  hearing  them  loud  and  clear.


    Cheers - Surfydad

       


 
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