Thanks for that prosperity.  To be honest, I've only been...

Thanks for that prosperity.  To be honest, I've only been following BAL for a short time, so I haven't had a chance to put many hours into research.  I obviously need to put in a few more hours before Wednesday.  Assuming that your figures are fairly close to the mark, in a worst case scenario the full year result gives a valuation of -39% to + 39%, and in the best case scenario you posted earlier, you estimate the valuation to be + 20% to + 120%.  Based on your two scenarios, the case for an upside reward would seem to be a lot bigger than the downside risk.