You are $2.02 away and I'm $1.32.  I wonder who is closer. ...

You are $2.02 away and I'm $1.32.  I wonder who is closer.  Remember, the trend is your friend.
Tell me how you derived $10.12 (was it plucked out of thin air)?
I have read plenty of illogical thoughts, and the only way I see your estimate occurring is a PAT of $25m or better.  Very highly unlikely IMO.
Have you seen any new substantial holders?
Every time false buyers load the kitty, the shorting consortium puts the brakes on.  Let's say a BAD result will see a reload from the shorts as they eye new levels.
SAMR timing is the most important result followed by H2 guidance.  Any negatives and this will be smashed.