CWN 0.25% $12.09 crown resorts limited

Is cwn a great short?, page-2

  1. 4,270 Posts.
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    I was thinking about this today. I suspect that to short a stock ahead of a potential privatisation would be a dangerous tactic, especially since JP paid $12 for his last load of shares. More likely, he waits till the stock is trading 10% below $12 (ie 10.80) for a period of 3 months and then bids $12 for the balance, ie a 10% premium to the 3 month VWAP.Under those circumstances, there really is only 40-50c on the downside.
    Alternative, they wait until the 1/2 year results come out and make the bid then. Any private equity group who may be party to a transaction would, I'm sure, prefer to wait until the results are out esp since its only a matter of a week away.
 
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