CCL 0.00% $13.30 coca-cola amatil limited

glad i sold yest, page-13

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  1. 6,436 Posts.
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    salty.. the key to me there is 'before signifcant items'.

    everyone seems to anticipate hefty writedowns are coming - thats why i just think its better to assume same profit in 2nd half.

    npat is npat - before significant items is just semantic nonsense to me - because when you book the loss of capital writeoffs you are recognising a loss of value. i also dont like giving ceos pass marks for accounting chicanery that just sets them up to deliver better ROEs.

    having said all of that - 16.5x PE would still be too expensive for this stock imo

    I had thought the turnaround in domestic pricing might be v-shaped - but it appears to be more like a bucket.

    I think sweet spot for this stock may be after christmas. before then i struggle to see it getting really elevated and downside risk is considerable.

    just one guys opinion of course.
 
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